optionsXpress
Jul
5
2011

Don’t Mess Around With Cheeky Oil Beyond A Limit!


It won’t’ be something new to the ears of the ardent investors  if I say that crude oil has become an esteemed possession for many of us, but how it has been managed is somewhat intriguing.


With the ongoing tussle between the archaic Libyan Government and revolutionaries, it seems that the uncertainly would not die out any sooner in the mind of global investors who are keeping a shrewd look on the movement of crude oil, waiting to get a chance to join the howling bandwagon.

 

Even though almost 2% of the global oil production has been badly hit by the unexpected uprising in Libya, an attempt to topple the monarchy of Moammar Gadhafi, the global investors remained hooked to their high-tech trading screens to pull a moment of buying a share of the cheeky crude oil. If fundamentals are to be accounted for, oil somewhere around $80 and $100 was touted to be well seated, even Fred Fromm, portfolio manager of Franklin Natural Resources fund, agree with this.

Well if extent of Arab uprising is picked, supply crunch on Libyan side must have put the already struggling European countries in dock. With no dearth in oil demand at international front, many biggies, including Italy, is in a fix to get refined oil.

Even Tom Kloza, an analyst with Oil Price Information Services in Wall, seems to have refreshing take on the ongoing mystery as he said, “If you’re a heavy-oil refiner in the Midwest, you had a winter to remember”, but “If you’re an Italian light, sweet crude refiner, you’re screwed”.

Above all, oil trading is certainly not for the risk-averse short term investors, as it’s highly dicey to predict ups and lows in crude oil trading under such unpredictable turn of events. Though you have range of bets on oil exchange traded funds be it U.S. Oil (USO), to track the performance of West Texas light, sweet crude oil or if you have Brent in your mind, U.S. Brent Oil (BNO) is for you, a safe game would be to go for at least 10 years of investment instead of a ‘quick-shower approach’.

“In oil-producing countries that have experienced civil wars, the oil industry tends to be (affected) fairly severely,” rightly quoted by Evan Smith, co-manager of the U.S. Global Investors Global Resources fund. Even the industry experts are of consensus to have a smooth sailing in oil instead of a jockey ride, as was seen when reports of death of Gadhafi buzzed the news channels, which was latter defiantly refused by the leader himself.

Weird it many sound to many risk takers, but don’t bet too high on dwindling crude oil. Instead take a well thought approach to get the best out of your investment made in pockets of trading market.

No matter the oil guzzling nations, more or less, are battling for a common cause to win democratic power from the clutches of hard-nose rulers, crude oil, willingly or unwillingly, has become burning ammunition in the hands of on the international trading market.

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