Archive for March 11th, 2010

Investment Opportunity: Gold Prices Falls To Lowest Level In Two Weeks

Thursday, March 11th, 2010

Gold has always been considered a safe investment. However looking at the recent drop in the gold prices, It almost appears that the luster of the gold may be dulling just a bit as the price of gold fell closer to the $1,100 per ounce mark. Is this the beginning of a downturn in the price of gold? Is gold still a very safe investment?

Gold is falling despite overall stock market growth

Jobless claims fell by another 6,000 last week, and that seems to have had an effect on the price of gold, pushing it down near the $1,100 per ounce price range. The two dollar drop towards $1,100 is the lowest the price of gold has been for the past two weeks. This drop is unexpected considering that last week, gold grew in price by $20 per ounce. This week, that $20 gain has already been lost as gold has fallen $27 in price. In the past few weeks, there has been a great deal of liquidity in the gold market with over one million ounces being sold during this time frame.

  • Spot gold fell to a low of $1,102.85, which is its lowest level since February 25.
  • U.S. gold futures for April were down 1.3 percent to $14.20 this week, with $1,108.10 an ounce in heavy trading.

Platinum Prices Rises

While gold prices have fallen slightly, platinum prices have actually gone up by more than one percent to reach their strongest price level in the past seven weeks. The reason for this is due to Japanese buying heavily in platinum on the Asian markets. As well, South Africa, the world’s largest platinum exporter, has announced that the country will not experience the same delays in mine production as was seen last year. Last year, there was not enough power to run the mines and the exports of platinum fell drastically. South Africa has also stated that they do not expect any blackouts during the World Cup of Soccer this year, which should keep the platinum mines running and that is good news for the market.

Crude Oil Prices Fall

Just as with gold, crude oil prices for April has fallen by 34 cents down to $81.75 per barrel. The reason for this drop was because of the strengthening of the dollar against the Euro, which made commodities much more attractive to investors. The U.S. dollar traded at $1.3621 against the Euro, which was an improvement over the $1.3657 that it traded at the day before.

Gold prices have fallen slightly but they are still a great investment that should keep going up for some time now. Gold prices are higher than they have ever been before and it is going to take a lot to hurt that market sector. Platinum prices are also going to be better this year thanks to the higher production coming out of South Africa. As for crude oil, it should go up in price as summer gets here, but expect the crude oil prices to stay between $80 and $95 throughout the next few months.

Further Reading:

Is Gold a safe investment?

Should I keep investing in Dollars

One Year Later The Stock Market Recovers March 2010

Thursday, March 11th, 2010

The stock market hit its lowest point in recent memory one year ago during the first week of March. Now, one year later, how have things improved, or have they improved at all? What is the market like now after some recovery over the past year? Is it ready for nervous investors again? These are the questions that everyone is asking. Some people have started to get back into the market but a big portion of us are still watching from the bay as our dear savings are too dear to us!

Stock Market bottomed in March 2009

It was one year ago during the first week of March that the stock market fell to its lowest levels seen in recent memory. It was specifically on March 9, 2009, that the stock market and the investors using it, suffered through one of the worst days for the stock market. But honestly speaking back then, no one knew if it was the absolute bottom or not. It could very well have gone lower! So the best course of action at that point was to pull your money out and thats what average americans did including me.

Market Recovery in 2010

So, it is one year later, how have things changed? Are things better? Well, the answer to this seems to be yes and no. While the market has improved by 55 percent, making it one of the best and fastest improvements since The Great Depression, there are still some issues that worry investors.

Investors are still suspecting a second dip

Currently, 26 banks have failed and that means this year is on pace to match the 140 bank failures that occurred last year. On the FDIC list of problem banks that may fail, there are 702 banks, including 252 that were on the list at the start of 2009. The main reason for this is because foreclosures have continued to be a problem for many homeowners and that puts added financial strain on many banks.

In regards to the recovery of stocks, there are several that have seen their values increase by leaps and bounds since last year. Genworth Financial and Office Depot have both increased by over 1,000 percent, while Ford has seen its stock price grow by 660 percent. Overall, the sectors that are doing the best over the past year on the stock market are following:

  • Insurance
  • Retail
  • Financial services
  • Lodging
  • Automotive industries

Of course, there are still plenty of stocks that have lost a great deal of value, but today there are more doing better than doing poorly. For example, on the S&P 500, over half of the stocks listed have experienced over 100 percent in growth since this same time last year. This shows that the market is recovering, but that there are still problems. This month could be seen as the balance between the bad years of 2009-09 and the good years of 2010-11. As time goes on, we should begin moving more and more into better market conditions, and away from the bear market of 2008-09.

Overall what is the sentiment

Overall how is the market doing now? Well, it is doing better and a big part of that is the fact that many investors are now feeling more confident in the market, much more than last year. Last year it was believed that a bear market would continue for a long period of time, but things have now changed and it seems as though the market is turning a corner. Many investors are now going into riskier investments and that shows a confidence in the market. At the same time people are much more cautious than ever before. Even if they see a rally, a common sentiment is to pull early on to lock in decent profit rather than aiming for big bucks. On that note, I locked in around 14% profit just yesterday using TEAR & SGMA!! WOOT WOOT

Further Reading

Future of US Economy

Housing Market Future